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ITEM: |
ACTION ITEM |
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18. |
CONSIDER ADOPTION OF AMENDMENT TO THE
REPORT “SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR WATER ON THE MONTEREY PENINSULA” ADOPTED IN MAY
2020, TO REFLECT THE 2022 AMBAG REGIONAL GROWTH FORECAST |
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Meeting Date: |
February 25, 2021 |
Budgeted: |
N/A |
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From: |
David J. Stoldt, |
Program/ |
N/A |
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General Manager |
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Item No.: |
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Prepared By: |
David J. Stoldt |
Cost Estimate: |
N/A |
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General Counsel Review: N/A |
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Committee Recommendation: N/A |
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CEQA Compliance: This
action does not constitute a project as defined by the California
Environmental Quality Act Guidelines section 15378 |
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SUMMARY: The AMBAG regional growth forecast projects
the region's population, housing and employment. The growth forecast is used to
support regional planning efforts such as the Regional Travel Demand Model and
the Metropolitan Transportation Plan as well as local planning such as the
development of General Plans and project review. However, use of the forecast
by local land-use planning agencies is elective.
Developing population, housing and employment forecast estimates for the Monterey Bay region consists of two distinct stages. The first stage is the identification of regional and county level forecast figures through the use of widely accepted forecasting methodologies. The second stage is the disaggregation of county-level forecast numbers to the jurisdictional level.
The 2018 Regional Growth Forecast
was adopted at the AMBAG Board of Directors Meeting on June 13,
2018. The District utilized the 2018
AMBAG Regional Growth Forecast as an objective third-party scenario for the
forecasting of water demand on the Monterey Peninsula in its “Supply and Demand for Water on the Monterey
Peninsula” adopted by the Board in May 2020 (Exhibit 18-C).
The 2022 Regional Growth Forecast was accepted for planning purposes by the AMBAG Board of Directors on November 18, 2020 (Exhibit 18-B). The 2022 Regional Growth Forecast is scheduled to be formally adopted by the AMBAG Board of Directors in June 2022.
Exhibit 18-A summarizes the updated 2022 Regional Growth Forecast’s impact on future water demand.
EXHIBITS
18-A Analysis of Water Required for AMBAG 2022 Regional Growth Forecast
18-B AMBAG 2022 Regional Growth Forecast
18-C “Supply and Demand for Water on the Monterey Peninsula” report, adopted May 2020
U:\staff\Boardpacket\2021\20210225\Action
Items\18\Item-18.docx