Exhibit 1-D

 

Past Methodologies to Project Long-Term Water Needs

 

Different methodologies have been used by the eight jurisdictions in the District to estimate future water needs in the past.  Most recently (between 1999 and 2003), the District undertook two studies to identify water needs on (1) vacant legal buildable lots of record and (2) vacant buildable lots of record on improved parcels.  The legal lot studies used standard factors to estimate water needs for each of the jurisdictions based on vacant lots identified using aerial photos.  The planning departments of each of the jurisdictions participated in both of the studies, but the second study was not concluded due to lack of adequate orthophotography for the unincorporated areas of Monterey County. 

 

Prior to the legal lot study, there were at least three occasions where the District attempted to secure long-term water needs estimates from the jurisdictions. The first effort, in 1992, involved EIP Associates preparation of population and housing projects for the New Los Padres Project EIR/EIS.  EIP’s estimated long-term water needs were derived from Master Plan build-out numbers and AMBAG population projections. The second effort occurred in February 1994, when District General Manager Jim Cofer asked the jurisdictions to provide the District with their “best estimate” of water needs.  Finally, in January 1999, District General Manager Darby Fuerst requested current and long-term water needs from the jurisdictions.  No specific guidelines were provided with these requests for water estimates.

 

 

 

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